Russia Hits Lviv's UNESCO Heritage Site in Overnight Barrage of 392 Drones and 34 Cruise Missiles

Ukraine's air force shot down 287 of the 392 drones — a 73 percent interception rate — and intercepted 19 of the 34 cruise missiles. The 120 drones and 15 cruise missiles that penetrated Ukraine's defenses struck across Kyiv, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Odessa, Dnipro, Mykolaiv, Khmelnytskyi, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil, Zhytomyr, and Lviv oblasts. The breadth of the attack appeared designed to overwhelm Ukraine's air defense inventory, forcing interceptors to make triage decisions about which targets to prioritize. The power link between Moldova and Europe — a critical node in the European energy grid — was severed when a missile struck a substation in Odessa Oblast, cutting power to 340,000 homes across the region for more than six hours before partial restoration.

“Ukraine's air force shot down 287 of the 392 drones — a 73 percent interception rate — and intercepted 19 of the 34 cruise missiles.”

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy condemned the strike as "deliberate cultural genocide" in a late-night address, specifically citing the Lviv UNESCO damage. He called on Western partners to accelerate delivery of additional air defense batteries, naming Patriot and SAMP/T systems as the priority. "Russia is not just attacking our people," Zelenskyy said. "It is attacking the memory of European civilization."

Ukraine struck back within hours. Satellite imagery analyzed by independent defense monitor Planet Labs confirmed fires and visible structural damage at the Primorsk oil terminal on Russia's Black Sea coast and at a refinery complex in Ufa, in Russia's Bashkortostan republic — more than 1,400 kilometers from the Ukrainian border. The Ufa strike, if confirmed, would represent Ukraine's deepest penetration into Russian territory to date. Russia's defense ministry acknowledged "Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles" were shot down near Ufa but did not acknowledge damage to the refinery.

On the diplomatic front, Zelenskyy reiterated Tuesday that Ukraine wants "at least approximate dates" for a new round of peace negotiations. The central obstacle remains unchanged: Russian officials have insisted that any settlement require Ukraine to formally cede the portions of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson oblasts that Russia claims but does not fully occupy. Ukraine's position remains that it will not recognize Russian sovereignty over any Ukrainian territory. A senior Kremlin official told the TASS news agency on Monday that "new US-mediated talks are likely soon," a formulation that Western diplomats read as conditional rather than committed.

The European Union provided significant financial undergirding to Ukraine's position on Tuesday. The European Council confirmed a EUR 90 billion support loan covering 2026 and 2027, with the first tranche of EUR 18 billion expected to be disbursed by early April. The package is structured as a loan backed by interest from immobilized Russian central bank assets — a financing mechanism that the EU has used since 2024 and that Russia has repeatedly called "theft of sovereign assets." EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the package "sends the unambiguous message that Europe stands with Ukraine for as long as it takes."

Ukraine's energy infrastructure remains a critical vulnerability. Russia has targeted power generation and transmission in virtually every major attack wave since October 2022. Ukraine has managed to restore approximately 3.5 gigawatts of the more than 9 gigawatts of generating capacity that Russian strikes have destroyed or damaged — a partial recovery that keeps the lights on in most cities for 18 to 20 hours per day, but leaves the grid fragile ahead of a second consecutive wartime summer. The Moldova power link damage from Tuesday's attack complicates Ukrainian efforts to export surplus power to Europe during periods of lower demand, a revenue stream that Kyiv has relied on to help fund reconstruction.

Russia's total confirmed personnel losses since February 2022 now stand at approximately 1,289,740, according to Ukraine's General Staff — a figure ISW broadly corroborates as within its own estimated range. An additional 890 casualties were reported in the 24-hour period ending Tuesday morning. Despite those losses, Russia has maintained offensive pressure by intensifying recruitment, including at universities, as voluntary enlistment among working-age men has declined sharply in major Russian cities.

For European energy consumers, the severed Moldova-Europe power link is a reminder that the war's infrastructure consequences extend well beyond Ukraine's borders. European natural gas prices rose 2.3 percent on Tuesday in response. For US taxpayers and policymakers, the EUR 90 billion EU loan package signals that Europe is stepping up its share of Ukraine's financial support — a shift that has bipartisan support in Congress but which the Trump administration has used as leverage in negotiations over NATO burden-sharing. For investors, the Ufa refinery strike — if fully confirmed — would be the deepest inside-Russia strike on energy infrastructure yet, and could add upward pressure to already elevated global oil prices.

The spring offensive's official commencement means the next six to eight weeks will likely determine whether the front line shifts materially before any peace framework is agreed. ISW assessed in its Tuesday report that Russia's primary objective is to capture the city of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast — a logistics hub whose fall would significantly complicate Ukrainian supply lines across the entire eastern front. Whether Ukraine can hold Pokrovsk while sustaining the losses from overnight drone and missile barrages will be the central question of the coming weeks.